Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 3.259549e-05 0.000039 0.000045 0.000052 0.000061 0.000069 0.000080
2025-03-30 2.542105e-05 0.000033 0.000041 0.000052 0.000064 0.000078 0.000094
2025-04-06 2.002124e-05 0.000028 0.000038 0.000050 0.000066 0.000083 0.000105
2025-04-13 1.537793e-05 0.000023 0.000034 0.000047 0.000065 0.000085 0.000112
2025-04-20 1.232578e-05 0.000020 0.000031 0.000046 0.000065 0.000089 0.000120
2025-04-27 1.040212e-05 0.000018 0.000030 0.000046 0.000067 0.000094 0.000130
2025-05-04 8.883689e-06 0.000017 0.000028 0.000045 0.000069 0.000099 0.000140
2025-05-11 8.253984e-06 0.000017 0.000029 0.000048 0.000074 0.000108 0.000155
2025-05-18 7.080149e-06 0.000015 0.000028 0.000047 0.000076 0.000113 0.000165
2025-05-25 5.655306e-06 0.000013 0.000026 0.000045 0.000074 0.000114 0.000169
2025-06-01 4.665354e-06 0.000012 0.000024 0.000044 0.000074 0.000116 0.000175
2025-06-08 3.955755e-06 0.000011 0.000023 0.000044 0.000075 0.000120 0.000183
2025-06-15 3.234326e-06 0.000010 0.000022 0.000043 0.000077 0.000125 0.000194
2025-06-22 2.621294e-06 0.000009 0.000021 0.000043 0.000078 0.000129 0.000205
2025-06-29 2.008287e-06 0.000008 0.000019 0.000042 0.000078 0.000132 0.000212
2025-07-06 1.402029e-06 0.000006 0.000017 0.000039 0.000076 0.000131 0.000215
2025-07-13 1.025823e-06 0.000005 0.000016 0.000038 0.000075 0.000133 0.000221
2025-07-20 8.094481e-07 0.000005 0.000015 0.000037 0.000077 0.000137 0.000231
2025-07-27 6.408039e-07 0.000004 0.000015 0.000037 0.000078 0.000142 0.000242
2025-08-03 5.939377e-07 0.000004 0.000015 0.000039 0.000083 0.000152 0.000261
2025-08-10 4.602920e-07 0.000004 0.000015 0.000039 0.000084 0.000157 0.000272
2025-08-17 2.997006e-07 0.000003 0.000013 0.000037 0.000083 0.000156 0.000275
2025-08-24 2.038538e-07 0.000003 0.000012 0.000036 0.000082 0.000158 0.000282